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    楼市政策进入区域分化式松绑周期

    来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2020年01月19日 04:17:56
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    (  “松)(绑)(”已)(成)(为)(近)(期)(房)(地)(产)(政)(策)(的)(主)(基)(调)(,也)(是)(中)(国)(宏)(观)(经)(济)(领)(域)(的)(一)(个)(亮)(点)(。
      2月)(19日)(,财)(政)(部)(、国)(税)(总)(局)(、住)(建)(部)(联)(合)(发)(文)(,调)(低)(个)(人)(购)(买)(住)(房)(的)(契)(税)(税)(率)(,尤)(其)(侧)(重)(对)(90平)(方)(米)(以)(下)(个)(人)(住)(房)(的)(调)(整)(。同)(时)(,文)(件)(还)(将)(个)(人)(购)(房)(营)(业)(税)(的)(免)(征)(年)(限)(下)(调)(至)(两)(年)(。与)(信)(贷)(杠)(杆)(一)(样)(,税)(费)(政)(策)(也)(基)(本)(回)(到)(2009年)(以)(前)(的)(宽)(松)(水)(平)(。
      这)(是)(近)(18天)(里)(,监)(管)(层)(发)(布)(的)(第)(三)(项)(实)(质)(性)(房)(地)(产)(刺)(激)(政)(策)(。春)(节)(前)(,央)(行)(下)(调)(非)(限)(购)(城)(市)(首)(付)(比)(例)(;节)(后)(,上)(调)(公)(积)(金)(存)(款)(利)(率)(。
      但)(与)(“降)(首)(付)(”类)(似)(,税)(费)(政)(策)(在)(制)(定)(中)(同)(样)(绕)(开)(了)(一)(线)(城)(市)(,这)(被)(认)(为)(是)(“区)(域)(分)(化)(”所)(致)(。业)(内)(人)(士)(指)(出)(,在)(当)(前)(货)(币)(环)(境)(宽)(松)(、流)(动)(性)(充)(裕)(的)(背)(景)(下)(,房)(地)(产)(正)(在)(迎)(来)(政)(策)(利)(好)(期)(,但)(区)(域)(市)(场)(的)(表)(现)(会)(有)(明)(显)(不)(同)(。
      新)(政)(主)(要)(调)(整)(了)(契)(税)(和)(营)(业)(税)(两)(方)(面)(。契)(税)(方)(面)(,首)(套)(房)(的)(税)(率)(上)(限)(由)(此)(前)(的)(3%下)(调)(至)(1.5%。其)(中)(,90平)(方)(米)(以)(下)(房)(屋)(交)(易)(,契)(税)(税)(率)(仍)(为)(1%;90平)(方)(米)(以)(上)(的)(房)(屋)(交)(易)(,契)(税)(税)(率)(统)(一)(按)(照)(1.5%征)(收)(。
      二)(套)(房)(契)(税)(的)(税)(率)(调)(整)(幅)(度)(更)(大)(。90平)(方)(米)(以)(内)(的)(二)(套)(房)(交)(易)(,契)(税)(税)(率)(仅)(为)(1%;90平)(方)(米)(以)(上)(的)(二)(套)(房)(交)(易)(,税)(率)(为)(2%。此)(前)(则)(统)(一)(按)(照)(3%征)(收)(。
      对)(于)(上)(述)(二)(套)(房)(的)(认)(定)(标)(准)(,文)(件)(规)(定)(“家)(庭)(第)(二)(套)(改)(善)(性)(住)(房)(是)(指)(已)(拥)(有)(一)(套)(住)(房)(的)(家)(庭)(,购)(买)(的)(家)(庭)(第)(二)(套)(住)(房)(。”也)(即)(“认)(房)(不)(认)(贷)(”。
      营)(业)(税)(方)(面)(,“个)(人)(将)(购)(买)(不)(足)(2年)(的)(住)(房)(对)(外)(销)(售)(的)(,全)(额)(征)(收)(营)(业)(税)(;个)(人)(将)(购)(买)(2年)(以)(上)((含)(2年)()的)(住)(房)(对)(外)(销)(售)(的)(,免)(征)(营)(业)(税)(。”与)(以)(往)(相)(比)(,不)(再)(区)(分)(普)(通)(和)(非)(普)(通)(住)(房)(,也)(即)(对)(大)(户)(型)(、高)(价)(、别)(墅)(等)(物)(业)(,不)(再)(征)(收)(差)(额)(营)(业)(税)(。
      中)(金)(公)(司)(认)(为)(,这)(种)(调)(整)(将)(助)(力)(改)(善)(性)(需)(求)(释)(放)(,有)(助)(于)(解)(决)(非)(普)(通)(住)(宅)(去)(化)(周)(期)(偏)(长)(的)(问)(题)(。中)(原)(地)(产)(则)(指)(出)(,政)(策)(对)(二)(手)(房)(影)(响)(大)(于)(新)(房)(,因)(为)(二)(手)(房)(实)(时)(交)(税)(;新)(房)(大)(部)(分)(是)(期)(房)(,基)(本)(要)(到)(收)(房)(才)(存)(在)(契)(税)(缴)(纳)(。
      不)(过)(契)(税)(新)(政)(中)(关)(于)(二)(套)(房)(的)(规)(定)(,不)(包)(括)(北)(上)(广)(深)(一)(线)(城)(市)(。分)(析)(认)(为)(,这)(是)(由)(于)(我)(国)(房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(的)(区)(域)(分)(化)(日)(渐)(严)(重)(。
      北)(京)(市)(房)(地)(产)(协)(会)(秘)(书)(长)(陈)(志)(向)(21世)(纪)(经)(济)(报)(道)(记)(者)(表)(示)(,该)(项)(政)(策)(对)(二)(线)(城)(市)(的)(利)(好)(作)(用)(较)(为)(明)(显)(,尤)(其)(是)(东)(部)(区)(域)(中)(心)(城)(市)(。对)(于)(三)(四)(线)(城)(市)(,契)(税)(的)(调)(整)(作)(用)(几)(乎)(没)(有)(。原)(因)(不)(在)(于)(政)(策)(,而)(在)(于)(当)(地)(的)(购)(买)(意)(愿)(和)(支)(付)(能)(力)(都)(较)(为)(缺)(乏)(。
      对)(于)(一)(线)(城)(市)(而)(言)(,陈)(志)(指)(出)(,其)(更)(多)(利)(好)(首)(次)(置)(业)(的)(购)(房)(者)(。同)(时)(,在)(一)(线)(城)(市)(和)(经)(济)(相)(对)(发)(达)(、需)(求)(相)(对)(旺)(盛)(的)(城)(市)(,契)(税)(优)(惠)(的)(效)(果)(可)(能)(会)(被)(上)(涨)(的)(房)(价)(所)(抵)(消)(。
      在)(“去)(库)(存)(”宗)(旨)(下)(,房)(地)(产)(政)(策)(已)(经)(进)(入)(密)(集)(发)(布)(期)(。
      中)(金)(公)(司)(指)(出)(,春)(节)(前)(后)(三)(次)(政)(策)(放)(松)(的)(频)(率)(、时)(点)(均)(超)(出)(预)(期)(,也)(体)(现)(了)(中)(央)(政)(府)(维)(稳)(经)(济)(、努)(力)(实)(现)(地)(产)(去)(库)(存)(的)(决)(心)(。
      这)(期)(间)(,地)(方)(政)(府)(也)(密)(集)(发)(文)(和)(表)(态)(。北)(京)(解)(除)(“限)(外)(令)(”,江)(西)(启)(动)(针)(对)(“去)(库)(存)(”的)(问)(责)(制)(度)(,都)(被)(认)(为)(是)(较)(有)(看)(点)(的)(举)(措)(。
      中)(原)(地)(产)(首)(席)(分)(析)(师)(张)(大)(伟)(表)(示)(,去)(年)(12月)(召)(开)(的)(中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(中)(,将)(“化)(解)(房)(地)(产)(库)(存)(”确)(定)(为)(2016年)(结)(构)(性)(改)(革)(的)(五)(大)(任)(务)(之)(一)(。无)(论)(中)(央)(还)(是)(地)(方)(层)(面)(,未)(来)(还)(可)(能)(继)(续)(有)(政)(策)(出)(台)(。
      多)(数)(机)(构)(的)(报)(告)(认)(为)(,在)(当)(前)(低)(利)(率)(和)(信)(贷)(放)(量)(的)(环)(境)(下)(,房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(已)(迎)(来)(近)(几)(年)(最)(好)(的)(政)(策)(环)(境)(。去)(年)(四)(季)(度)(出)(现)(的)(成)(交)(放)(量)(现)(象)(,可)(能)(在)(今)(年)(上)(半)(年)(得)(以)(延)(续)(。
      但)(不)(同)(市)(场)(的)(表)(现)(也)(不)(尽)(相)(同)(。中)(原)(地)(产)(认)(为)(,此)(前)(一)(直)(作)(为)(楼)(市)(“避)(风)(港)(”的)(一)(线)(城)(市)(,如)(今)(面)(临)(着)(一)(定)(风)(险)(。主)(要)(体)(现)(在)(“地)(王)(”频)(出)(、房)(价)(上)(涨)(明)(显)(,一)(旦)(信)(贷)(大)(量)(流)(向)(这)(些)(市)(场)(,有)(可)(能)(吹)(高)(泡)(沫)(。中)(金)(公)(司)(甚)(至)(认)(为)(,未)(来)(不)(排)(除)(一)(线)(城)(市)(收)(紧)(政)(策)(的)(可)(能)(。
      中)(金)(公)(司)(指)(出)(,对)(于)(库)(存)(攀)(高)(的)(三)(四)(线)(城)(市)(,政)(策)(放)(松)(趋)(势)(不)(会)(改)(变)(,未)(来)(将)(更)(多)(偏)(向)(于)(用)(导)(入)(人)(口)(、释)(放)(合)(理)(住)(房)(需)(求)(的)(“治)(本)(”之)(策)(来)(解)(决)(中)(长)(期)(问)(题)(,“去)(库)(存)(”战)(役)(也)(会)(持)(续)(较)(长)(时)(间)(。
    )


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